Fifa International · resolved market
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5756be3d1f9ef9cfd9fa603bc21f78c437e5466d0d6bd12291f3175489bda8a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 919.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 20c | 463.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 445.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 404.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 75c | 333.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 280.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 207.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 75c | 186.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 25c | 179.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 25c | 164.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 120.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 21c | 100.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 22c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Under | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 66.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Under | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 75c | 47.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Under | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…2302backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…616ebacked Over | 74c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 74c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5this page
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)Moldova won
- Spread: Moldova (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Moldova (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.