TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74d0…de45backed Under47c14,300$6,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,670.411643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over47c5,315$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.447823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over51c2,868$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c2,141$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.073647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over15c2,093$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.8145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,544$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c1,491$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c1,414$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.837954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over52c1,158$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.526432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c942.1$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c712.05$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.031,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over68c655.97$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3810068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over71c507.2$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0912763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over57c469.56$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.664351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over22c420.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.842343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over32c359.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3835036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under68c357.47$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.084967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over17c340$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.240736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over67c326.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab20…e6a0backed Over76c320.5$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c314.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.817830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under55c300.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8421953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under11c275.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3590%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a1…ee48backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7070…09debacked Under64c256.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.53580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+93.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa747…b089backed Under76c250.76$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+62.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under11c250$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over62c242.62$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+74.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c233.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6610740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c228.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Over40c224.61$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.796538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under47c221.47$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over70c213.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.313066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under75c210$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.517255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2470%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6816535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under48c185.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2125554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under48c167.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked Over12c166.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.032661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over62c164.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c154.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under45c152.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4915448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under77c142.28$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9917158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under57c140.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c135.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Under26c131.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2610053%53 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under37c128.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.984751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.243342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…294ebacked Over33c107.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Under29c103.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over72c101.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8423363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbe…2d13backed Over25c101.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+111%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over15c99.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.384623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over63c89.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5910265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Over44c89.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.861729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under46c88.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.186237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over13c80$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.636329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c77.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under52c74.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.076173.8%45 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under52c65.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.823154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1151…c27abacked Over50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b6…d503backed Under29c58.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over45c55.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.262763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Under78c54.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4f…abc4backed Under50c52.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under59c52.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1720156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over49c50.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2539551.1%202 W · 193 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over62c47.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0510868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Over28c41.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under78c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over65c35.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over37c35.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.146946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Over77c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked Over53c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over67c31.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2611775.2%88 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0fc…b74bbacked Under59c28.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under49c28.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.925761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c27.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8823751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7812744.1%56 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over75c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over38c26.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.482437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47061.4%43 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.