Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d851422dea9ae08452e3e034afa3953f6ac6b5c1f0dc7b9772096270527d86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 15c | 15,013$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 11,392$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 42c | 7,118$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 72c | 3,226$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,951$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 1,137$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 42c | 629.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 66c | 623.78$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 591.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 34c | 470.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 77c | 443.63$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 425.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 66c | 374.24$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 353.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 33c | 306.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 24c | 269.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 68c | 264.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 34c | 183.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 34c | 169.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 8c | 155.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 24c | 155.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 70c | 152.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 142.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 138.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 103.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 82.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 20c | 81.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 66c | 81.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 33c | 75.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 65c | 66.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 61c | 65.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 59c | 57.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 37c | 55.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 71c | 46.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 67c | 43.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 36c | 33.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…ae09backed Under | 34c | 30.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 61c | 29.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 69c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Over | 62c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 80c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5this page
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bhutan (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.