Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98079c4299482d2901173d7606950a5495fe830b526109076c33233c0bac8e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cambodiaof Cambodia, Bhutan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Bhutan | 44c | 1,139$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Cambodia | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Bhutan | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…80f6backed Cambodia | 42c | 800.01$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cambodia | 62c | 577.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cambodia | 45c | 323.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…ca25backed Cambodia | 55c | 272.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bhutan | 58c | 240$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bhutan | 51c | 203.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Cambodia | 51c | 114.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bhutan | 61c | 103.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bhutan | 59c | 102.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cambodia | 39c | 101.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Bhutan | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Cambodia | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cambodia | 70c | 90.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Bhutan | 50c | 89.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Bhutan | 58c | 77.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Bhutan | 59c | 77.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…4689backed Cambodia | 39c | 73.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Cambodia | 49c | 61.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Cambodia | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Cambodia | 75c | 54.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Cambodia | 52c | 50.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Bhutan | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -19.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cambodia | 64c | 41.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Bhutan | 59c | 37.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Bhutan | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Cambodia | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Bhutan | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Cambodia | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Bhutan | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Cambodia | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Cambodia | 47c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cambodia | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Cambodia | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…ae09backed Bhutan | 59c | 17.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Cambodia | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)this page
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bhutan (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.