Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd790bad33568fb26b414f6e91fd6f9039ac8c20d516a5bb99a8ac28e9780bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 48c | 6,866$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 4,328$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 3,222$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,633$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.67 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 1,277$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.56 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 58c | 474.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 455.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 313$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 37c | 299.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 297.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 268.37$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked No | 72c | 251.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 247.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 60c | 230.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 61c | 153.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed No | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked No | 59c | 112.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 71c | 94.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 64c | 90.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 39c | 82.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 59c | 69.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 61c | 65.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 45c | 47.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 38c | 47.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed No | 60c | 45.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 39.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 59c | 35.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 42c | 35.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 59c | 33.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 61c | 32.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 59c | 28.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 59c | 21.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bhutan (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.