Fifa International · resolved market
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12cb2f57b23479f57c886b9188c32c4c5d88dd42b0b23bbca84885e39c5fce54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 4,591$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 69c | 3,562$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 78c | 1,281$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 1,224$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 25c | 649.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 584.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 78c | 569.45$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 530.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Under | 76c | 464.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 22c | 299.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 279.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 75c | 264.32$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 68c | 244.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 23c | 224.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 17c | 219$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 5c | 215$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 23c | 200.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Under | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 72c | 137.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 23c | 134.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 76c | 130.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 101.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 20c | 99.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 99.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 92.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 88.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 76.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 35c | 71.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 60.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 57.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 23c | 54.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 67c | 52.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 44.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Over | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Under | 79c | 36.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5this page
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bhutan (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-1.5)Cambodia won
- Spread: Cambodia (-2.5)Cambodia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.