Fifa International · resolved market
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe56327e5ace67eaec848c550c0066efa9e5b0d461e9e38ef53a8c0bc489ef616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 48c | 2,638$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.52 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 66c | 1,540$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.59 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 1,520$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.01 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 1,497$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 1,025$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 744.88$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 19c | 358.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 75c | 347.83$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 343.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 65c | 307.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over | 39c | 260.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 77c | 256.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 65c | 249.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 32c | 243.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 201.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 39c | 201.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…8507backed Over | 65c | 195.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 79c | 189.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 42c | 187.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 42c | 186.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 69c | 166.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 71c | 141.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 130.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 119.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 20c | 109.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 39c | 106.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Over | 71c | 96.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 27c | 85.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 35c | 82.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 77.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 75c | 73.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 73c | 72.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 22c | 71.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 71.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 47c | 69.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 23c | 64.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 29c | 60.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 77c | 59.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 49c | 57.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 49c | 56.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 29c | 52.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 38c | 51.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 55c | 51.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 70c | 49.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 46.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 44.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 42.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Under | 30c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 71c | 40.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…b1bcbacked Over | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 59c | 31.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 35c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 62c | 28.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 71c | 21.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 77c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…42d1backed Over | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: India (-1.5)Tajikistan won
- Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)India won
- Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.