Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1758e77739faaaab2ba4df4dab5ccb4fe18ef281303ffb749b18258dc0086861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof Tajikistan, India
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Tajikistan | 61c | 173.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Tajikistan | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked India | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked India | 69c | 88.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked India | 69c | 74.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed India | 72c | 72.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tajikistan | 30c | 68.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed India | 72c | 58.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Tajikistan | 26c | 41.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked India | 39c | 39.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked India | 39c | 39.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked India | 76c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed India | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed India | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed India | 72c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed India | 76c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)this page
- Spread: India (-1.5)Tajikistan won
- Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.