Fifa International · resolved market
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f47b8efb0436591f7b9e29a63649ad62e12758eaa3b55ee0db9687785cfc29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 2,276$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.37 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 2c | 1,067$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 38c | 861.54$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.39 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 36c | 572.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 45c | 467.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 45c | 434.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 430.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 27c | 370.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 56c | 347.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 42c | 316$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…a0afbacked Over | 36c | 315.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 62c | 272$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 59c | 260.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…c329backed Over | 44c | 252.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 230.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 230.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Over | 45c | 214.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 49c | 203.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…5fcfbacked Under | 56c | 174.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 59c | 164.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 44c | 155.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 144.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 64c | 140.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 9c | 137.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 41c | 121.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 120.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 111.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 96.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Over | 45c | 94.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 15c | 87.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 77.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…875abacked Over | 30c | 75.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 63c | 68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 45c | 67.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Over | 30c | 65.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 38c | 61.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 43c | 58.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 51.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…af0cbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 39c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Over | 48c | 47.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…f3cbbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 64c | 41.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 35.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…4e5fbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 35c | 32.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Under | 57c | 29.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 67c | 28.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 64c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…dd3fbacked Under | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: India (-1.5)Tajikistan won
- Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)India won
- Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.