Fifa International · resolved market
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f89502c85677591d0e2691051935b3728c56e1e80f624dc032abc73c9c2648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 74c | 4,330$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 3,895$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 1c | 1,480$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 14c | 519.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 488.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 452.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 369.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 25c | 299.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 75c | 162.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 124$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 100.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 26c | 99.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Over | 64c | 55.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 75c | 50.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5this page
- Peru vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Honduras (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Honduras (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Honduras won
- Spread: Peru (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.