Fifa International · resolved market
Peru vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5fa979c7a898f7153a45ff29c9164a74ded91cda249912cdc1aa277ea3375c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 1c | 3,895$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 57c | 2,626$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 43c | 990$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.3 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 865.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.95 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked No | 48c | 491.79$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 53c | 381.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 360.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 265$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 163$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 56c | 149.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 44c | 78.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 44c | 48.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 42.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peru vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Honduras (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Honduras (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Honduras won
- Spread: Peru (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.