Fifa International · resolved market
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d414fbd44ed62aa49bfa9c54037fd6e911a634f863282aa22e377e4ff4cbc67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 999.81$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Under | 4c | 693.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Under | 5c | 555.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 20c | 449.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 27c | 441.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.58 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 361.23$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 16c | 358.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 307.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 253.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 33c | 212.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 187.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 175.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 114.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 101.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 20c | 50.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 46.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Over | 53c | 31.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5this page
- Peru vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Honduras (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Honduras (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Honduras won
- Spread: Peru (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.