Fifa International · resolved market
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73037ade6baf03bc2acb245c0280884debe19e4ebc1da748dfbbac0208852272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 1,638$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 1,462$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.85 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 1,277$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.59 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 49c | 1,109$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.81 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 25c | 902.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.63 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 58c | 870.92$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.38 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 790.35$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…a9aabacked Over | 43c | 451.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 346.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 52c | 328.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 328$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 327.24$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 319.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over | 48c | 271.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 68c | 265.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 68c | 265.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 261.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Over | 30c | 259.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 58c | 232.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 221$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 218.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 58c | 216.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 25c | 197.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 184$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 75c | 183.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…2ee8backed Over | 28c | 167.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 158.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 67c | 131.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c24ebacked Under | 76c | 131.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 117.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 105.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Under | 76c | 95.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 84.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 53c | 81.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 74.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…24ecbacked Over | 25c | 71.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 71.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed Under | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Under | 76c | 65.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 27c | 59.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 64c | 58.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 34c | 57.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 26c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 67c | 44.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 78c | 39.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 33.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 76c | 29.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 27.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 59c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 64c | 18.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 76c | 15.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)Tajikistan won
- Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.