Fifa International · resolved market
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9bf0a092f7d1f12f09338ed85f2728bbcc4be5c1732eb10d34212271d38b53e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,520$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.17 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 1,285$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.64 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 1,162$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 69c | 856.62$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 438.89$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 31c | 320.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 74c | 271.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 29c | 245$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 244.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 31c | 242.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 31c | 241.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 30c | 232.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 231.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 70c | 144.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 72c | 134.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8acabacked Over | 67c | 118.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 89.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 74.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 35c | 71.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 57.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Over | 73c | 43.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 42.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…f839backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 30c | 39.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 27c | 38.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 37.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 39c | 33.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 70c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)Tajikistan won
- Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.