Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c29257471bd803a956197fc1e58025d4150f9cf78a3cb89b2e790def1b68139

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	56c	3,197$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,792.17	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	44c	2,455$1,092 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,362.4	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	45c	1,898$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.84	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	49c	1,688$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.2	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	46c	1,371$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.61	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	47c	1,353$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.68	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	57c	1,343$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.97	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	53c	1,136$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.01	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked Over	48c	1,049$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.36	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+4.9wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	54c	999.98$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.99	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	46c	733.04$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.04	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under	80c	600$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	79cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	43c	568.66$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	42c	500$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	60c	478.76$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.33	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	22c	463.84$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.04	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	53c	371.17$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.36	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	44c	349$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.44	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	56c	349$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.26	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under	57c	348.07$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.79	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over	66c	304.09$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.09	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	53c	266$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.98	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	44c	242.15$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.25	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	44c	204.68$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.2	110	27.3%30 W · 80 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	54c	200.04$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.69	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	52c	176.59$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.36	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	60c	170$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.26	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over	42c	164.29$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.29	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	153$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.08	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over	47c	146.81$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	57c	145.91$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.83	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	48c	136.89$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.24	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under	64c	131.63$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.08	197	44.2%87 W · 110 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	55c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.52	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	36c	115.02$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.03	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	56c	114.76$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.73	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under	67c	112.12$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	28c	105.04$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.04	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb375…8f7dbacked Over	46c	102$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	219	55.3%121 W · 98 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	96.18$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.75	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over	43c	92.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	55c	80.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	55c	80.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over	37c	79.51$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.92	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	62c	68.44$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under	40c	67.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	50c	66.35$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.18	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-8.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	50c	60.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	22c	59.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.66	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	39c	59.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over	38c	56.71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.28	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	59c	56.35$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	30c	54.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over	64c	54.66$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	271	54.6%148 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	54c	53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	27c	52.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…3456backed Over	61c	46.03$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c40…7c34backed Over	68c	45.46$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	145	50.3%73 W · 72 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	126	61.9%78 W · 48 L	+10.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	42c	42.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.65	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over	47c	41.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	61	23%14 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	40c	40.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	236	58.1%137 W · 99 L	+20.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over	47c	40.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	171	45%77 W · 94 L	+11.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	162	31.5%51 W · 111 L	-13.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	46c	36.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.96	327	40.7%133 W · 194 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under	47c	35.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under	54c	34.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded8…f839backed Over	47c	27.66$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.66	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Over	48c	27.28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.28	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x137f…ad22backed Over	43c	25.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	46c	24.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.62	548	59.5%326 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…c878backed Over	49c	24.65$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	68c	23.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	48c	20.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…adfabacked Under	62c	19.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5)Tajikistan won
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 0.5Over won
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5Over won
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5Over won
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5Under won
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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