TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mauthausen: Hugo Gaston vs Darwin Blanch

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darwin Blanchof Hugo Gaston, Darwin Blanch
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2374…a426backed Hugo Gaston0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Darwin Blanch29c17,157$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,133.068,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darwin Blanch19c5,542$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Hugo Gaston41c5,482$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.9912756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darwin Blanch41c5,255$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Hugo Gaston75c4,023$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Hugo Gaston77c3,896$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hugo Gaston36c3,688$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Darwin Blanch17c2,144$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.584,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hugo Gaston32c2,072$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.397,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Hugo Gaston64c2,032$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30041251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Hugo Gaston62c2,010$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.21,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Darwin Blanch37c1,979$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.561,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darwin Blanch49c1,507$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.856,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Hugo Gaston79c1,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00073458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Darwin Blanch12c1,120$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.466628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Darwin Blanch29c1,035$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.1511342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Hugo Gaston65c953.5$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62015752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hugo Gaston62c819.72$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.2397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hugo Gaston63c727.25$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.41,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked Hugo Gaston80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Darwin Blanch44c510.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hugo Gaston67c505$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hugo Gaston68c500$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d12…4070backed Darwin Blanch38c494.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5210254.9%56 W · 46 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Darwin Blanch17c489.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8832240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Hugo Gaston62c483.86$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.122,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Darwin Blanch38c437.6$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.045,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Darwin Blanch24c417.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.956426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Hugo Gaston80c405$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32412735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d31…b55cbacked Darwin Blanch24c392.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+106.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Darwin Blanch40c380.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.612,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Hugo Gaston55c363.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6090…06e0backed Darwin Blanch36c334.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.25549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Hugo Gaston64c321.68$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8815040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Hugo Gaston78c307.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Darwin Blanch34c296.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6846040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Darwin Blanch24c293.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.34,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Hugo Gaston28c258$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.342,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hugo Gaston10c257.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Darwin Blanch19c254.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.318033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Hugo Gaston42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Darwin Blanch30c227.87$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8714325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Darwin Blanch45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2215742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Hugo Gaston73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x044e…28d3backed Darwin Blanch79c188$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.864452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Hugo Gaston76c180$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.810254.9%56 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Hugo Gaston33c179.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3412053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa141…6744backed Darwin Blanch28c170$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.45712.3%7 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Hugo Gaston75c166.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6663…fa4fbacked Darwin Blanch21c158.07$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9311…1553backed Darwin Blanch24c156.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Hugo Gaston70c134.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4956070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Hugo Gaston74c128.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Darwin Blanch40c127$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.752,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darwin Blanch45c124$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.576,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Darwin Blanch31c122.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.172630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Darwin Blanch16c120$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.836944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Darwin Blanch24c115.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.783,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Hugo Gaston74c109.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Hugo Gaston61c109.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.727768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Darwin Blanch38c102.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.913,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Darwin Blanch38c102$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.595846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb0…99a6backed Darwin Blanch38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Hugo Gaston72c99.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9326535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Hugo Gaston78c94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0911158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Hugo Gaston55c92.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519629.2%28 W · 68 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Darwin Blanch37c81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0342344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Darwin Blanch37c81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Hugo Gaston63c79.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9843951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Hugo Gaston64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hugo Gaston61c76.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.481,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Darwin Blanch66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.531366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Hugo Gaston77c74.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.625265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Darwin Blanch36c73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.729839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Darwin Blanch31c70.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.927638.2%29 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Darwin Blanch27c70.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3713432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Hugo Gaston55c69.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.064,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Hugo Gaston65c65.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Hugo Gaston78c63.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5791880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Darwin Blanch38c63.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…bbb5backed Hugo Gaston63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Hugo Gaston60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3674955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Darwin Blanch37c57.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9281256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hugo Gaston27c56.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hugo Gaston64c56.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hugo Gaston61c51.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Darwin Blanch39c51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1146848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Darwin Blanch68c50.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.156068.3%41 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Darwin Blanch38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Darwin Blanch28c46.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8728348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Darwin Blanch24c46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.742714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8096…f5e3backed Hugo Gaston75c44.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Hugo Gaston67c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.571,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Darwin Blanch75c41.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Hugo Gaston50c40.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Hugo Gaston75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Darwin Blanch32c39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732d…f413backed Hugo Gaston79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304355.8%24 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Hugo Gaston54c36.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.