Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe132993b98f7911a6788d617a7942b6f8d4e654a8fb2bb6b40f88fdd0ef3ab60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,418$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 881.6$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.17 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 55c | 659.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 622.43$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 51c | 495.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 455.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 400.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 363.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 75c | 326.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 75c | 278.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 24c | 263$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 40c | 177.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under | 33c | 145.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 79c | 125.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 41.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 40c | 41.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 40.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 41c | 36.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 34.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 44c | 26.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 21.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.