TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jeju SK FCof Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, Jeju SK FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jeju SK FC72c740.13$533 inWon+$207.21,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC28c738.1$207 inLost-$206.671,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC30c319.33$96 inLost-$95.85612.5%7 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jeju SK FC76c251.86$191 inWon+$61.152,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC28c149.93$41 inLost-$41.2318647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Jeju SK FC70c141.35$99 inWon+$42.416341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jeju SK FC71c120.22$85 inWon+$34.835,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC19c117.32$22 inLost-$22.29119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-82.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Jeju SK FC70c47.62$33 inWon+$14.294643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC25c42.04$11 inLost-$10.6942625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Jeju SK FC72c34.14$25 inWon+$9.566663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Jeju SK FC74c29.53$22 inWon+$7.681,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Jeju SK FC72c23.73$17 inWon+$6.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc55c…60f1backed Jeju SK FC73c20.13$15 inWon+$5.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x251e…bfe7backed Jeju SK FC80c20$16 inWon+$4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Jeju SK FC71c19.65$14 inWon+$5.71573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Jeju SK FC73c16.15$12 inWon+$4.2924162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Jeju SK FC74c14.57$11 inWon+$3.7947860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Jeju SK FC74c14.57$11 inWon+$3.7934558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Jeju SK FC74c14.57$11 inWon+$3.7915358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.