Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafb3c78b3a802fb170601d01b61dd1f4c88a8da8fa3b39a8589237b99577851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 68c | 3,402$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.61 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Yes | 8c | 1,974$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,945$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 5c | 1,881$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,864$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.99 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 31c | 1,771$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 30c | 1,606$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 70c | 1,599$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 22cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 31c | 1,546$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 1,542$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.55 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 1,403$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,307$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 1,212$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 31c | 1,082$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 833.47$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 11c | 667.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 69c | 569.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 32c | 500.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 398.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 29c | 396.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 9c | 367.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 352.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 32c | 307.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 299.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 10c | 283.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 31c | 249.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b18abacked Yes | 9c | 244.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 11c | 201.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…6bffbacked Yes | 11c | 180.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 31c | 154.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 8c | 153.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 31c | 108.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 106$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 11c | 99.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Yes | 11c | 99.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 31c | 97.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 69c | 88.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 70c | 79.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 32c | 66.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…3cd1backed Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 68c | 34.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 32.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 69c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.