Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb36fae699f2e8deac6342c3753dd3ce1bec30c0e9cbd94c61645e28d3bf696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,666$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.48 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 1,100$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.45 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 797.12$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.86 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 57c | 503.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 481.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 324.84$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 322.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 6c | 317.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 295.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 30c | 294.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed No | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 20c | 277.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 247.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 223.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 206.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 186.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed Yes | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +345.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 148.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 147.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 13c | 140.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 20c | 139.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 134.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 132.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 129.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 80c | 123.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 119.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 117.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 17c | 110.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 110.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 98.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 92.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 90.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 70c | 89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 79.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 71.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 25c | 57.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 29c | 56.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 26c | 44.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 20.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 70c | 14.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.