TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes39c67,402$26,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,094.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c15,356$9,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.5552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No60c11,390$6,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5566952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c9,204$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3201,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c9,158$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,582.4771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1206347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3404548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Yes70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes38c5,672$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.323756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No62c5,516$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.252466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3655151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No48c3,120$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.482157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1705151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes52c2,761$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.6824052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed No50c2,156$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c1,937$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c1,849$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.971,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c1,797$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.7587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No62c1,517$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No61c1,511$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.193135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5855547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No61c1,291$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Yes39c1,167$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No32c1,144$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.171668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes62c1,125$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.732638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c1,090$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.88143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c882.89$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No61c861$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.799553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…e516backed Yes40c849.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes48c846.4$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2726660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c832.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb9…953bbacked No60c829.6$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3125251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3124753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Yes63c778.75$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes68c721.18$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes67c611.46$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.386943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24613844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37213246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c592.19$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes40c589$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c549.14$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No36c534.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.93540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.83850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked No61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.321963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c472.84$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.685947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes40c424.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8422927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.86654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.86357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c409$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes79c381.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No61c370$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.36051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes39c343.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.863040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed No60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No62c316.44$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0310364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c304.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+179.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c292.42$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3818847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes39c264.29$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c243.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.499558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No60c243.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.499960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.467031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Yes20c228$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.361822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+282.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes48c205.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.774266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No22c205.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.642524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked No38c199.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes40c192.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c1…981dbacked No61c184.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c180.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No55c155.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.089450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a1…e6e2backed Yes64c152.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No62c152.56$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes39c149.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.497949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No62c145.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0623342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.