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Fifa International · resolved market

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes16c3,125$500 inWon+$2,62511038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes16c2,721$435 inWon+$2,285.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes16c1,037$167 inWon+$869.6216032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200c…a466backed Yes14c870.67$124 inWon+$746.92650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+287.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes15c400$60 inWon+$34038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a5…d3b0backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon+$262.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick18cpaid+112.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fb0…408cbacked No7c214.29$15 inLost-$15160%0 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes16c213.3$34 inWon+$179.1295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebb…1c0dbacked Yes18c200$36 inWon+$1641428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c167.36$25 inWon+$142.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes16c156.25$25 inWon+$131.258661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes12c150$18 inWon+$13217223.3%40 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes12c150$18 inWon+$1326136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes16c147.91$24 inWon+$124.2475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf88a…11debacked Yes14c147.86$21 inWon+$127.1610829.6%32 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a4…2966backed Yes16c125$20 inWon+$1054852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes12c125$15 inWon+$11014945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes16c125$20 inWon+$10537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes15c106.72$16 inWon+$90.7129813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes11c106.43$11 inWon+$95.155429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e1…5516backed Yes14c103.94$15 inWon+$88.945523.6%13 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…5922backed Yes12c100$12 inWon+$881450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes16c100$16 inWon+$845168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x75aa…0bd0backed Yes12c94.83$11 inWon+$83.454311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes14c70$10 inWon+$59.851,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.