La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bcd5757d379a39aca2a5eaf113ba3d1d65c2136b7591ffe17adb5d0c508d1d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 75c | 10,232$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.62 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 7,594$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 5,494$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 12c | 951.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 12c | 816.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 18c | 626.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 625$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed No | 74c | 595.84$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 27c | 560$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 26c | 466.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 8c | 440.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 373.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…0945backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 333$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 6c | 324.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 323.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 299.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked Yes | 27c | 271.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…9995backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 199.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 10c | 194.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389f…2e74backed Yes | 27c | 171.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…fe8bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 130.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 26c | 130.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…5717backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…55b9backed Yes | 28c | 84.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Yes | 27c | 77.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 28c | 59.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…6a72backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes | 27c | 41.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 40.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 38.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 72c | 29.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…53f7backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.