Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65df66f347b8792b7b3d5c3b7629ebde17190ed7e1f7653bcee7100ff873c231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 7c | 1,146$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 787.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 738.19$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 16c | 493.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 362.25$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 25c | 308.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 71c | 306.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 253.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 6c | 196.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 185.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 183.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked Yes | 29c | 154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 143.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…de77backed Yes | 17c | 132.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 17c | 118.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 100.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 80c | 98.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 24c | 49.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 45.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 44.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.