TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Over44c34,351$15,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,097.911717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c14,087$7,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,180.1982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c11,109$6,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.3698833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c5,617$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.214,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c5,030$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.5156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c3,631$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.151,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c2,654$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.7763757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over46c2,180$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under57c2,044$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under56c1,961$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.6412050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c1,922$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.073,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…d109backed Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1523152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under65c1,488$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over44c1,135$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.711849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over46c1,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over46c1,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under55c917.37$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.417447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c666.99$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6321831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over10c630.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.921,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c462.65$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9268050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under55c445.64$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c341.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0339338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Under64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2224…8c7ebacked Under56c268.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under56c256.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.822955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over27c232.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.889947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6428…8188backed Over44c231$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over29c210$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.922335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c184.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.872,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.813053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under65c164$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8415260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.353964.1%25 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over47c111.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.448950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over27c100.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510022%22 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Over33c87.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2819133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c86.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c85.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c82.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0327257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c78.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.271,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5644324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c68.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over48c64.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1313243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over45c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.452638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a21…e9acbacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…a65abacked Under56c50.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under55c42.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.884037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8410055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under56c33.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.664965.3%32 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under52c32.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4320043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Over46c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Over46c30.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.032653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over48c30.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under63c23.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.622357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Under55c23.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Under56c22.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2b…de68backed Under67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under54c22.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under55c21.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under63c21.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.844261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa556…e483backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…188abacked Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Under66c16.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.