TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Levante UDof CA Osasuna, Levante UD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,379 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Levante UD78c7,694$6,032 inWon+$1,661.5499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed CA Osasuna25c5,268$1,342 inLost-$1,342.441,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CA Osasuna25c2,834$702 inLost-$702.4657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed CA Osasuna6c2,593$155 inLost-$154.8483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Levante UD74c2,381$1,762 inWon+$618.937841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed CA Osasuna25c1,282$321 inLost-$320.5512546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed CA Osasuna25c1,073$268 inLost-$268.3564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked CA Osasuna25c999.96$250 inLost-$249.9911822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed CA Osasuna14c208.74$29 inLost-$29.1740239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Levante UD74c152.66$113 inWon+$39.694456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Levante UD74c149$110 inWon+$38.747343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed CA Osasuna25c138$35 inLost-$34.51080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Levante UD75c134.41$101 inWon+$33.63278.1%25 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed CA Osasuna10c120$12 inLost-$1214333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked CA Osasuna25c120$30 inLost-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Levante UD75c119.02$89 inWon+$29.753145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked CA Osasuna26c114.22$30 inLost-$29.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed CA Osasuna26c114.19$30 inLost-$29.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed CA Osasuna26c70.36$18 inLost-$18.291225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Levante UD74c64$47 inWon+$16.641,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Levante UD77c59$45 inWon+$13.7815660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked CA Osasuna25c49.99$12 inLost-$12.59252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed CA Osasuna26c46.62$12 inLost-$12.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Levante UD75c42.72$32 inWon+$10.687365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Levante UD76c41.99$32 inWon+$10.0827758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed CA Osasuna26c40.83$10 inLost-$10.413554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed CA Osasuna27c40.77$11 inLost-$11.0111336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed CA Osasuna27c40$11 inLost-$10.66767.2%45 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Levante UD75c28.96$22 inWon+$7.248647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Levante UD75c24.19$18 inWon+$6.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Levante UD74c21.14$16 inWon+$5.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Levante UD75c18.79$14 inWon+$4.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Levante UD75c17.04$13 inWon+$4.181533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.