La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f546046568c062b7666bab16319512c565ee9e7d90017873aef3fcf6ac56d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 734.76$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.91 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…6cbebacked Over | 79c | 638.57$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 513.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 187.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 182.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Over | 58c | 131.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 100.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 250 | 33.6%84 W · 166 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 55c | 82.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 31c | 77.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 65.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 31c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…b187backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…dc43backed Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…ddbabacked Over | 78c | 14.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.