La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251e09f1990cd9f5414a81bdc9fc390a7b4d52155719e3287f620b0ba7b5aef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 23c | 2,001$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 1,473$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Over | 23c | 1,440$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 1,246$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 1,080$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Under | 80c | 999.53$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 23c | 810.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Under | 77c | 654.67$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…8c7ebacked Under | 77c | 648.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 16c | 477.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 408.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 76c | 339.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 24c | 333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 4c | 332.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Under | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 78c | 181.29$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 23c | 181.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 77c | 36.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 76c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.