La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847258a2f9ccaa25a65fd8eebbab883393cf81372612d3d7b72f43274c827ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,012$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…b845backed Over | 65c | 1,305$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 40c | 1,292$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,199$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.58 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 972.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 67c | 606.06$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.06 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 43c | 209.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Over | 45c | 194.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 182.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 142.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 76c | 80.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 49c | 41.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 40.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 54c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: CA Osasuna O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Levante UD O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.