TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c23,665$14,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,974.254,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c7,894$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.6682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Over41c7,317$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over32c6,573$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.0556439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c5,452$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.092634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over37c5,120$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.39633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c4,981$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.193,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under71c3,475$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.4198833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Under61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c1,791$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.023847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over40c1,475$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under55c1,161$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.012458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over40c1,125$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.852714.8%4 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c1,022$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.331,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Over72c957.28$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.241241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c930.52$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over72c761.11$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c640.93$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.821831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c639.78$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.991,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c614.17$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.392,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over70c575.34$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.742766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under28c436$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9211849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over72c415.82$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over72c415.82$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under61c413$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1515260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over5c404.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c402.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6263757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over43c363.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.22825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c338.27$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4741351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under63c333.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0827257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over40c332.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8428…a5fbbacked Over41c287.22$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x029b…2542backed Over35c271.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over38c230.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Under61c229.49$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b4…e8b1backed Over68c225.63$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353030%9 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over19c167$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.456740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ad…8cedbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under30c152.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c149.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.644324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under65c138.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8311053.6%59 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.533949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over52c127.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.039947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c122.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over22c111.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3842158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under68c78.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1122357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c73.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.471,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under64c72.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.374261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…188abacked Under44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6331…88d7backed Over22c57.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over60c55.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.313243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under61c47.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1510055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under66c45.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under54c44.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.744965.3%32 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Over24c41.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under28c39.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.486445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over71c35.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.983455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over50c34.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over62c32.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over73c30.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…830ebacked Over69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under61c21.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87e8…2ef1backed Under67c19.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.