Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71632cf364dcb12d1f1a2c55aeb149f4aa7bb5d8c247a1de0c33a6fc2816b9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 58c | 7,546$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.73 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 4,164$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 3,921$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.2 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Under | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 1,310$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.8 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 56c | 1,099$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 42c | 1,035$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 910.71$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.18 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 773.37$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.76 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 555.53$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 389.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 375.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…6c15backed Over | 42c | 243$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 58c | 231$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Under | 57c | 228.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Under | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 200.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Over | 42c | 198.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 70c | 174.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 174.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 44c | 169.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 163.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 59c | 158.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 32c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 111.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5506backed Over | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 41c | 78.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 40c | 53.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 56c | 52.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 49.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 34.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Over | 43c | 34.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 32.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 68c | 31.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 34c | 30.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 42c | 28.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 65c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.