Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea656e5e3d0a766569b91b4449f23b521197d2a057613e3c281b14fe197a8a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 51c | 1,956$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 954.33$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.62 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…2a53backed Yes | 51c | 951.08$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 606.01$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 507.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 493.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.02 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 265.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 241.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 211.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 211.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 17c | 202.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 136.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 97.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 85.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 55.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 51c | 40.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 49c | 39.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 77c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.