Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd3755f3c9529b337323bf1f4544d3d6d3ab5e4ea27ed29bef43762a5c9c23c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 4,105$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.57 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,177$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.44 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,262$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 1,779$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 1,381$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.34 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 947.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…ba90backed Over | 34c | 894.49$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 883.98$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Over | 74c | 830.07$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 22c | 772.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 11c | 691.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.51 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 488.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 435.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 65c | 373.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 4c | 333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 50c | 302.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 71c | 281.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 263.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 44c | 262.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 55c | 231.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 213.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 177.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 27c | 168.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 51c | 140.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 108.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 96.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 83.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 52c | 82.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…37f9backed Under | 52c | 78.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 68.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 23c | 65.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 54c | 59.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 46c | 51.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 41.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 59c | 33.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 52c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 47c | 22.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 79c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.