Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14557dbf6fe2307f16c49013c954059a7d265592fa80503f1b0742867ab9c9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 28c | 2,500$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,593$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 1,512$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.93 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 43c | 919.47$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.11 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 789.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 716.12$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 75c | 675.12$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 460$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 66c | 399.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Over | 4c | 377.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 356.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 73c | 314.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 20c | 224.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 46c | 218.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 217.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 90.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 32c | 77.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 77c | 64.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 43c | 58.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 29c | 51.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 32c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 63c | 16.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)PAOK won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)PAOK won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.