TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: PAOK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Dynamo Kyivof PAOK, FK Dynamo Kyiv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,485 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1621…f040backed PAOK3c1,024$27 inLost-$26.5365.6%2 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PAOK15c1,000$150 inLost-$1502425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed PAOK74c714.23$527 inLost-$526.9511839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7a…1d90backed PAOK18c660.39$120 inLost-$120.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed PAOK16c523.12$85 inLost-$85.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed PAOK13c505.58$66 inLost-$65.7374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv29c399.75$116 inWon+$284.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+238.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FK Dynamo Kyiv54c244.03$132 inWon+$112.251,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed PAOK72c204.96$148 inLost-$148.342,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PAOK43c200.49$86 inLost-$85.673,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked PAOK71c181.87$130 inLost-$129.910627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed PAOK18c118.43$21 inLost-$21.41060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv25c107.47$27 inWon+$80.6327554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked PAOK27c60.52$17 inLost-$16.6270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd756…ce84backed FK Dynamo Kyiv23c45$10 inWon+$34.51450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+184.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.