TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under26c1,073$275 inLost-$274.642835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over70c457.37$318 inWon+$139.2578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c269.49$129 inLost-$129.492,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.4917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under36c138.88$50 inLost-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over8c128$10 inWon+$117.7627545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over64c100$64 inWon+$364852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over40c100$40 inWon+$607328.8%21 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c82.92$42 inLost-$42.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over67c60$40 inWon+$19.89257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over47c59.82$28 inWon+$31.484082.5%33 W · 7 L+11.3wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+65.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over65c36.98$24 inWon+$12.8245348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c32.75$22 inWon+$10.9935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over54c31.17$17 inWon+$14.342653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f9a…dfb8backed Over58c25.76$15 inWon+$10.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over67c23$15 inWon+$7.5915240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over67c17.19$12 inWon+$5.67366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.