Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba14a8518707c49f1860bf161f1e939fa8aa70701f63ab6fbc2e14aaee718fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 4,532$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 61c | 3,513$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.65 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 28c | 3,347$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.02 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 38c | 1,416$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 1,130$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.06 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 56c | 991.8$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 10c | 554.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.74 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 40c | 545.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…54dabacked Over | 61c | 529.25$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 39c | 515.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 63c | 479.06$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Under | 42c | 340.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 11c | 305.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 299.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Under | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 278$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 59c | 250.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 11c | 196.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 56c | 193.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 173.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 48c | 135.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 56c | 135.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 54c | 119.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 48c | 108.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 62c | 107.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under | 49c | 86.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 64c | 82.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…3841backed Over | 38c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 36c | 68.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 36c | 61.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Under | 48c | 37.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 56c | 35.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 53c | 34.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…051fbacked Under | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 56c | 31.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…b683backed Under | 46c | 25.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.