Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68743ddfaca3363e6e7fc0028d8fc13fb0957cee2ac94aa2b223ca7fe41210b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 35c | 3,568$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,392$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 33c | 1,139$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.88 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 683.29$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.06 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 584.55$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Under | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 79c | 341.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 13c | 299$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 76c | 131.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 94.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Under | 74c | 50.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 53c | 49.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 44.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 40.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 42c | 36.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.