Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb344baceadbf965f8b4a66abdb19d6a21ad11773fc9f1b398b87224c970c3b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 6,328$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.59 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Beijing Guoan FC | 33c | 3,131$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.39 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Beijing Guoan FC | 51c | 2,146$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 64c | 567.67$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 309.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Beijing Guoan FC | 51c | 296.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 49c | 235.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…5aa1backed Beijing Guoan FC | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Guoan FC | 51c | 138.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 47c | 68.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 39c | 61.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 60c | 61.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Beijing Guoan FC | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 75c | 53.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 66c | 45.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 35c | 45.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…a8fbbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 59c | 36.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 67c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.