Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad46d499daec473289ec5d0af7f31050c6067fd39774a55c5ef5136c02da2092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 1,089$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…11c2backed Yes | 52c | 591.13$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 54c | 284$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 209.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 48.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 72c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Yes | 60c | 20.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.