Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85c4d4d692e1f64720cec9f7abd5752965edd4e93cc31eaa7ebfabbc52af594f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 12c | 7,136$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Yes | 43c | 409.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +126%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 42c | 309.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 6c | 262.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 228.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 216.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 215.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 25c | 192.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 142.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 136.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 15c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 119.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 13c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 42c | 105.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 86.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 12c | 82.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 43c | 82.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 77.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 61c | 67.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 67.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed No | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 32.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 28.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 38c | 27.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.