Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b725c941e1194f8b356086e3ff32ff48926fe8fb9694a9bc7e93bdddc5dd99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 6,070$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 32c | 4,043$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 71c | 2,820$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.03 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 2,665$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,499$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 56c | 957.18$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.35 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 890.83$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 40c | 714.23$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.13 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 667.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 54c | 437.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 9c | 402.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 54c | 145.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 19c | 116.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 116.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 36c | 102.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 100.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Yes | 42c | 95.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 69.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 44.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 41.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 33c | 31.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 49c | 30.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 65c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 65c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.