Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e954780b7325b7b920ef5c9c304f22199a2ba263faea78914c0e872fbf981c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 7,733$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.99 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…3047backed Yes | 31c | 4,727$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 3,091$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.17 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,470$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,178$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 910$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 458.14$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 311.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 288$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 14c | 174.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 30c | 167.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 30c | 158$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 138.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 15c | 127$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 15c | 123.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 79c | 67.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 65.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 62.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 59.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 78c | 42.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634e…f16cbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 70c | 39.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 36.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…b976backed Yes | 33c | 35.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 30.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 70c | 25.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 22.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 70c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.