Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff518f6d0b4d96888a2c42d082f8a124ff95903e61edf970d41a0b5f897d607b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,903$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 46c | 6,681$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 6,084$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.49 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,895$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 5,219$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 49c | 4,061$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.93 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 53c | 2,180$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Yes | 34c | 1,037$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 36c | 956.64$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…0625backed No | 30c | 706.24$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 494.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked No | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 38c | 432.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 261.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 39c | 174.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 169.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 50c | 162.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 59c | 142.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 134.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 59c | 131.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Yes | 34c | 100.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 39c | 84.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 39c | 81.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 64c | 78.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 50c | 74.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 70.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 30c | 65.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 58c | 60.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 56c | 54.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 59c | 51.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 34c | 46.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 52c | 46.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 26c | 43.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…0ec9backed Yes | 44c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 39.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 59c | 33.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…52ebbacked Yes | 59c | 33.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 59c | 32.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…4aa6backed Yes | 59c | 32.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 30.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 59c | 28.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed No | 68c | 25.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed No | 41c | 25.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 57c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 78c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.