Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4eb215e5605042606dec787d6647e693536bd164913b1bfc93d059ab1751009
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 72c | 36,044$25,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,092.23 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 28c | 11,212$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.44 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 9,208$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.37 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 8,039$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.31 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 4,218$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.19 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,727$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,666$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.38 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,515$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 51c | 1,302$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.93 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 33c | 1,224$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed No | 68c | 576$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 28c | 554.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Yes | 21c | 477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 459.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 412.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 377.15$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 63c | 280.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 75c | 268.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 43c | 247.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 217.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 202.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 53c | 193.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 34c | 161.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 26c | 132.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 121.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 53c | 92.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 42c | 91.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 48c | 82.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 66.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 60.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 60.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 52.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 65c | 51.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 69c | 45.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 28c | 43.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 35.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 31.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed No | 73c | 20.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 69c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed No | 80c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.