TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Under46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.783847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over53c40,000$21,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under47c25,532$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.991,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c19,999$9,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,355.328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over54c12,500$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7503450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under46c8,200$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.9715448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Over54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7603246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over54c5,888$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.4833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over54c5,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Under47c5,442$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Under47c5,196$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9910743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0347…7e7abacked Under47c3,700$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c3,309$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.221,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over53c3,245$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over53c2,789$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.9627850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7813446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over59c2,491$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.95435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over53c2,340$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over54c2,282$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.7242254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed Under44c1,888$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,773$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.931,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,736$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.6761959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c1,733$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.3211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over53c1,401$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.479751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,300$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Under47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked Under45c854.14$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1869…fe78backed Under46c681.24$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27624347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under47c502.13$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c500.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0420855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Over53c485.39$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.134161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c479.19$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2231848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…2ea8backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c363.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.649258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Over54c363.26$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under47c319.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c305.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3414353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14145749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over53c290$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over62c280$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.71,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Over54c263.94$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.418846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa151…03b0backed Over54c242.28$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under21c233.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Over54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.484557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Under47c210.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under47c209.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.798658.1%50 W · 36 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28dd…f376backed Over54c185.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over54c180.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c160.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6824…9721backed Over54c141.88$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+55.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f56…f76ebacked Under47c138.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over54c133.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.333151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under46c130.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.264562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ef…190abacked Over54c126.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over54c126.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.052755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8d…d46cbacked Under47c125.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c117$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.821,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4082…f5b2backed Over54c112.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over54c111.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.092236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb792…1658backed Under47c107.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.581050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fe…fedcbacked Under47c105.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x286b…c15fbacked Under47c103.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over54c101.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6459852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4797955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.914252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.914151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over54c97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6210056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…3492backed Over54c95.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+73.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5927851.1%142 W · 136 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…224abacked Over54c76.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.232142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c67.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.919844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021243.4%92 W · 120 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under44c63.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.058844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c61.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.972,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c59.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1510650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.