NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee77e3f469dbe24f61033b1912a8863c4abac43e39ff2270f92c29b7a4f8ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 60c | 3,933$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.79 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 61c | 2,906$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 43c | 2,794$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Under | 7c | 1,855$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 40c | 1,797$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.47 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,665$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,645$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.19 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 1,223$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.54 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 58c | 1,073$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.03 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 66c | 608.7$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.19 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 39c | 570.17$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.95 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 39c | 545.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 61c | 505.91$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.61 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 10c | 480.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 25c | 472.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 8c | 444.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 56c | 432$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 418.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 7c | 406$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 39c | 400.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.06 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 42c | 344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 39c | 261.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…095dbacked Under | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…7336backed Under | 22c | 229.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 203.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 6c | 194.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 61c | 164.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed Under | 59c | 117.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 61c | 102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 97.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 23c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 60.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Over | 40c | 57.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…93c0backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 40c | 46.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 39c | 38.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 42c | 36.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 50c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 58c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…9d17backed Under | 60c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 25.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.