Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619862b8c56058f64d5fc8d84438528ea84e55f3296309c077ec90b8b87dca29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Travoman Teamof Rostik Team, Travoman Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Travoman Team | 66c | 831.34$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Rostik Team | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rostik Team | 34c | 715.26$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Travoman Team | 75c | 588.2$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed Rostik Team | 41c | 583.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Travoman Team | 48c | 538.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.11 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Rostik Team | 33c | 529.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rostik Team | 25c | 414.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Rostik Team | 46c | 394.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Rostik Team | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Travoman Team | 72c | 341.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Travoman Team | 57c | 306.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rostik Team | 34c | 288.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rostik Team | 24c | 262.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Rostik Team | 30c | 255.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Rostik Team | 31c | 246.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rostik Team | 19c | 241.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked Travoman Team | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Rostik Team | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Rostik Team | 31c | 192.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Travoman Team | 67c | 187.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Travoman Team | 40c | 183.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rostik Team | 42c | 175$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Travoman Team | 71c | 171.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rostik Team | 22c | 168.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…4c9dbacked Travoman Team | 78c | 167.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Travoman Team | 70c | 158.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rostik Team | 23c | 128.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Rostik Team | 23c | 127.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Travoman Team | 71c | 124.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Travoman Team | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Travoman Team | 69c | 112.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rostik Team | 18c | 108.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Travoman Team | 60c | 104.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2325backed Travoman Team | 57c | 102.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rostik Team | 20c | 98.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rostik Team | 58c | 97.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Travoman Team | 53c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Rostik Team | 61c | 90.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…4b51backed Travoman Team | 71c | 84.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…d19ebacked Travoman Team | 43c | 83.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rostik Team | 33c | 82.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Rostik Team | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…7421backed Travoman Team | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Travoman Team | 72c | 70.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Rostik Team | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Rostik Team | 32c | 69.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Rostik Team | 38c | 66.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rostik Team | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed Travoman Team | 65c | 61.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Travoman Team | 72c | 55.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Travoman Team | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Travoman Team | 73c | 46.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Rostik Team | 34c | 44.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Rostik Team | 55c | 40.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked Travoman Team | 49c | 40.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed Rostik Team | 35c | 39.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Travoman Team | 79c | 38.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Travoman Team | 64c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…9062backed Travoman Team | 59c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Rostik Team | 48c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Rostik Team | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Travoman Team | 63c | 21.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed Travoman Team | 79c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Travoman Team | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 1 WinnerRostik Team won
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 2 WinnerTravoman Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.