Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5634487883f91f06831cc9f833d1cb7cbf724404ef359cc8159efb17c3e885c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rostik Teamof Rostik Team, Travoman Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Travoman Team | 11c | 449$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Travoman Team | 36c | 399.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rostik Team | 61c | 149.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rostik Team | 60c | 123.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Travoman Team | 55c | 106.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rostik Team | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Rostik Team | 33c | 92.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Rostik Team | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Travoman Team | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Travoman Team | 67c | 58.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Rostik Team | 41c | 54.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Rostik Team | 44c | 50.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked Travoman Team | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Travoman Team | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked Travoman Team | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Travoman Team | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Travoman Team | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Rostik Team | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Rostik Team | 72c | 16.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group ATravoman Team won
- Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Travoman Team - Game 2 WinnerTravoman Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.