TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ47c21,523$10,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,201.8623435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MOUZ38c20,909$7,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,900.750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed BetBoom Team41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,850.1447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BetBoom Team66c14,507$9,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.0471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed MOUZ22c11,440$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.6618950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed BetBoom Team55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ37c7,021$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.8151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed MOUZ47c6,678$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1388648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed MOUZ35c6,355$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.3516553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed BetBoom Team66c6,000$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.5137655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ44c5,355$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.2440051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team34c5,306$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team73c4,870$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.8250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team43c4,599$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.181,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked MOUZ53c4,117$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.1912858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed MOUZ31c4,027$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.0951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked BetBoom Team41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36032549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed MOUZ27c3,578$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.117844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed MOUZ17c3,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59529042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ24c3,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed MOUZ64c3,147$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed BetBoom Team53c2,500$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.9957449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed MOUZ30c2,442$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.7436343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ42c2,388$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team78c2,380$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.551,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked MOUZ59c2,306$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.3819456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team72c2,280$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.5956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed MOUZ2c2,058$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked MOUZ49c2,037$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BetBoom Team50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ18c1,963$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team19c1,931$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.111,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed MOUZ70c1,876$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.318660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed MOUZ21c1,850$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.534442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed MOUZ22c1,780$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6829546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed MOUZ75c1,750$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.453764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked BetBoom Team74c1,677$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2212764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed BetBoom Team64c1,600$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2514943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ37c1,521$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…5ecfbacked BetBoom Team70c1,514$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.346642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed MOUZ66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.999852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed BetBoom Team69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ21c1,300$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27388539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed BetBoom Team70c1,250$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37514646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2591…b7c1backed BetBoom Team32c1,229$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.3111244.6%50 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team46c1,222$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ20c1,212$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked MOUZ17c1,208$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9228251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed MOUZ19c1,204$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked MOUZ30c1,131$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1922031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…ef1cbacked MOUZ43c1,093$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.033540%14 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked BetBoom Team68c1,090$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455e…f7f9backed MOUZ13c1,087$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed MOUZ28c1,066$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked MOUZ36c1,037$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2131953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed BetBoom Team45c1,001$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.8629240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed BetBoom Team16c939.24$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8627737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ30c937.37$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.925246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed BetBoom Team71c934$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.0465441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa20d…6ba4backed MOUZ31c903.23$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014751%75 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ38c880.4$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.872,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked BetBoom Team71c805.7$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5148843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team37c803.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.231,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed BetBoom Team50c793.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3620642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed MOUZ20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed BetBoom Team22c750$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked MOUZ26c736.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0156343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e9…2eeabacked BetBoom Team76c734.95$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.956767.2%45 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BetBoom Team22c726.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3310537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked BetBoom Team67c725.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3715957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BetBoom Team14c700$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60035737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked MOUZ32c691.66$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4210349.5%51 W · 52 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed BetBoom Team38c681.42$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.489352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8f…7b12backed MOUZ27c633.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked MOUZ16c627.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BetBoom Team79c627.5$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2427060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BetBoom Team53c623.16$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.1646664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed MOUZ27c609.86$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8545457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked MOUZ32c600$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.412217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team59c579.18$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.731,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked BetBoom Team34c578.06$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked MOUZ8c577.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6310251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked BetBoom Team72c575.85$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2317965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ62c531.38$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4579859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d6…6bf4backed MOUZ19c523.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013553.3%72 W · 63 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cd…3ca2backed BetBoom Team79c506.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.846532.3%21 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed BetBoom Team50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25021047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ61c499.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked BetBoom Team21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.198541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4905…1683backed MOUZ42c451.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.844843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked BetBoom Team56c450$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20054659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ33c449.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked MOUZ29c427.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9525752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2172…5cdabacked MOUZ62c422.05$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.222454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked BetBoom Team19c421.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0511254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed MOUZ27c419.03$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.147635.5%27 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4652…6343backed BetBoom Team16c407.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.23938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BetBoom Team73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.